Seb Fox
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Ikigai. A reason for being.

Collaboration, not competition

18/1/2018

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Amazon's new HQ2
We all know the tech behemoths (Amazon, Google, Facebook etc) pay basically nothing to contribute to the infrastructure and society they rely on so much.

What's often ignored is that governments love to help them do so.

Amazon is building a second 'HQ2' away from its current Seattle home, and US cities are throwing their citizen's hard earned money at its feet in attempt to entice it to build in their home town. It's like some sort of desperate, pathetic marriage proposal the most popular kid in school from literally everyone else. Except the popular kid isn't popular, and he already nicks everyone's lunch money and he not a kid but one of the most powerful corporations in the world.
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Amazon pays just 0.0077% tax on its European revenues currently. It has UK sales totalling 4bn, and yet when queried by the UK public accounts committee, claimed that it didn't actually have any sales in the UK. I don't know about you, but I'm now confused about where all that stuff I order from amazon comes from if it's not amazon? It certainly looks like it has the amazon logo on. Certainly smells like amazon. Hmm...

​Amazon received 238 offers from different cities ranging from $1.3bn in tax cuts in Chicago, to a strange scheme in Fresno, California that would give over control of spending the pathetic amount of tax Amazon pays to…well, amazon itself. Not really a tax then is it.

Boston have even offered to provide a 'city taskforce' of city employees who would work to protect amazon's interests in the city.

That's all very lovely, it's not like a 'city taskforce' could be doing other things in Massachusetts, it's not like there are 17,500 homeless people across the state, a doubling from 1990 and 2/3 of them in families with children. Yeah, it makes sense really, wouldn't want old Bezos to lose out on another few billion. Much more important.

​More than 1/10 of amazon's employees in Ohio are on food stamps despite having jobs at Amazon. Looks like the nine figure sums of incentives you've given Amazon so far have really paid off Ohio?

This is all especially humorous when you note that Jeff Bezos (head of amazon and recent richest man in the world) loves to talk about a new 'golden era' of technology with plenty for all.

We really need to get our priorities straight, either we want these tech giants to be a positive social force or not. I love tech, and I love private enterprise, but it does need a helping hand to keep it's morals straight. Amazon, apple, google, they all need the stuff taxes are for, they use the roads so they can provide essential services like previous day delivery, they need the state provided health insurance (oh wait, sorry) to pick people up when they are broken from working inhumane shifts for inhumane pay, they need government education systems to teach their employees how to innovate and do more clever things that make the CEOs richer.

The federal system has broken down; all states are just competing in a race to the bottom to lick the shoes of massive corporations. We need collaboration to beat the big boys and secure a fair deal for all. Not only does this need to work at a federal level, it needs to work at an international level. If everyone agrees on a fair set of rules then the likes of Starbucks, google etc have nowhere to hide.
Oh look, Apple is building a second HQ, look forward to seeing where they choose!

Disclaimer: I do really love tech and I think the innovations we see are the most exciting things on the planet, I don't think large corporations are inherently bad, it makes sense they would try to pay less tax as they are profit maximising machines. I think the fault is really with the weakness of a international and federal collaboration, and weak-kneed politicians.

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The future is exponential: Artificial Intelligence

12/11/2017

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You can barely move in 2017 without hearing the buzzwords ‘AI’ or ‘neural networks’. It’s clear that we are hyped to be on the cusp of a great revolution. But what just what does this future hold?

We often forget that artificially intelligent machines are already ubiquitous in society: from calculators to email spam filters and Spotify’s automatically curated personalised playlists. But the AIs of the future are set to be entities with capabilities on an unprecedented scale. Today’s machines outperform humans at specific tasks, but AI thought leader Nick Bostrom envisages a future of artificially superintelligent machines (ASIs) that would be ‘much smarter than the best human brains in practically every field, including scientific creativity, general wisdom and social skills’. Essentially, machines that can think for themselves.

No theoretical barriers stand in the way of creating such a machine. After all, human brains are just bundles of neurons bathed in a load of chemicals that, when arranged in the correct way, produce the illusions of consciousness, free will and emotion. If we could reproduce the exact structure of the human brain down to an atomic level resolution, using transistors and software, there is really no reason that this silicon-based entity would not experience the same illusions of consciousness, free will and emotion as us carbon-based life forms.

Of course, getting to this point is no mean feat, but the hardware is already there: neurons run at 200Hz whereas the most standard microprocessors in your computer run at 2GHz (10 million times faster). Memory capabilities are many-fold greater without the space constraints of the human skull. Upload and download speeds are also incomparable (think of how long it takes you to read a book and how long it takes you to load one onto your kindle). Computers are also far higher fidelity than humans and simply don’t make mistakes, it’s always human error that produces malfunctions. It’s simply the software that we are still struggling to get right now.

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The end of progress? The future is quantum.

6/9/2017

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Take a moment right now to consider just how crazy the world is. Back in the 1970s, a ‘minicomputer’ filled an entire building, and now everyone from 2 week old babies to kids in rural Africa have mobile phones that give them access to more information than Bill Clinton had when he was President 20 years ago. Imagine sitting on a desert island and wondering how to go about creating such a technology, it’s an awesome feat of collaboration, intellect and creativity that really boggles the mind. And we’ve only got better and better at doing awesome things. As renowned futurist/thinker/entrepreneur Ray Kurzweil puts it, the progress of the entire 20th century (from telephones and television to computers) would have been achieved in just 20 years at the rate of advancement of the year 2000. And in 2021, it will only take 7 years to experience the same amount of progress as the entire 20th century.

In fact my favourite way of thinking about the increasing rate of technological progress comes from Tim Urban’s wait but why blog in which he introduces the concept of a ‘die progress unit’ (DPU), which is how far in the future someone would have to be transported in order to actually die from the level of shock they’d experience. ‘Imagine taking a time machine back to 1750 — a time when the world was in a permanent power outage, long-distance communication meant either yelling loudly or firing a cannon in the air, and all transportation ran on hay. When you get there, you retrieve a dude, bring him to 2015, and then walk him around and watch him react to everything. It’s impossible for us to understand what it would be like for him to see shiny capsules racing by on a highway, talk to people who had been on the other side of the ocean earlier in the day, watch sports that were being played 1,000 miles away, hear a musical performance that happened 50 years ago, and play with my magical wizard rectangle that he could use to capture a real-life image or record a living moment, generate a map with a paranormal moving blue dot that shows him where he is, look at someone’s face and chat with them even though they’re on the other side of the country, and worlds of other inconceivable sorcery. This is all before you show him the internet or explain things like the International Space Station, the Large Hadron Collider, nuclear weapons, or general relativity. This experience for him wouldn’t be surprising or shocking or even mind-blowing — those words aren’t big enough. He might actually die.’ Thus, the DPU would be 250 years.
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Urban then goes on to talk about how far back the 1750 guy would have to go to find someone who was sufficiently shocked by the 1750s that they might actually die from it. Another 250 years surely wouldn’t be enough, realistically he’d have to go back maybe as far as 12,000 BC before the agricultural revolution and the concept of civilisation. 1750s London to a hunter-gatherer would be pretty insane it’s safe to say. So the DPU here is more like 13,000 years. Now, the law of accelerating returns (the fact that the more advanced a society is, the faster it can progress and thus reaches an exponentially increasing rate of acceleration) means that it’s entirely possible that the DPU for present day people would only be 50 years or so i.e. one of us would only have to travel to 2070 to be sufficiently shocked by the experience (who knows, maybe there won’t even be any humans around in 2070, just AI overlords, or a nuclear wasteland).

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    I write about the future of technology, science and humanity.

    ​Oxford, UK

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